Description

Rubnitz et al identified prognostic factors for survival in a pediatric patient with recurrent acute myeloid leukemia (AML). In general these patients have a guarded to poor prognosis. The authors are from St. Jude's Children's Research Hospital and the University of Tennessee in Memphis.


 

Patient selection: pediatric AML with relapse/recurrence

 

Factors associated with better overall survival:

(1) male gender

(2) autologous stem cell transplant before the relapse

(3) stem cell transplant after the relapse

(4) prolonged interval between the initial diagnosis and recurrence (each month conveys a 3% reduction in the risk of death)

 

where:

• The stem cell transplants after relapse appear to involve allogeneic transplants from matched sibling or matched unrelated donor.

• No specific cutoff for the time interval between diagnosis and recurrence is given. An interval less than 6 months would be associated with poor outcome and more than 2 years would be good. For the implementation I will use >= 12 months (>= 1 year recorded in Table 3, page 159). One alternative would be to consider an interval < 12 months as indicative of worse overall survival. Another alternative is to consider >= 24 as 2 points and 12-23 months as 1 point.

 

Factors associated with worse overall survival:

(1) FAB M5 or M7 morphology

 

Factors favoring a second remission:

(1) male gender

(2) FAB M1 morphology

 

Factors against a second remission:

(1) allogeneic stem cell transplant before relapse (all died within 1 year)

 


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