Description

Oddo et al identified prognostic factors for patients in the medical intensive care unit (MICU). These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Columbia University in New York City.


 

Patient selection: adult in the MICU without known acute neurologic injury

 

Poor outcome included severe disability at hospital discharge, vegetative state or death.

 

Parameters evaluated by multivariate analysis:

(1) findings on a continuous electroencephalogram (EEG)

(2) age in years

(3) coma

(4) circulatory shock

(5) acute renal failure

(6) acute hepatic failure

 

Parameter

Finding

Adjusted Odds Ratio

findings on continuous EEG

normal

1

 

seizures or periodic epileptiform discharges

19

age of the patient

<= 65 years

1

 

> 65 years

3

coma

absent

1

 

present

2

circulatory shock

absent

1

 

present

6

acute renal failure

absent

1

 

present

3

acute hepatic failure

absent

1

 

present

7

 

where:

• The presence of changes on continuous EEG are associated with sepsis.

• Most of the items represent an organ failure.

• The assumption is that each of the parameters is independent.

• I am not sure how the odds ratio for EEG changes is 19 when the authors say that about 90% of patients with changes had a poor outcome vs 40% if absent.

 

cumulative odds ratio for a poor outcome =

= PRODUCT(all 6 adjusted odd ratios)

 


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