Description

Han et al developed a prognostic score for evaluating a cancer patient being considered for a Phase I clinical trial. This can help to stratify a patient based on risk. The authors are from the Cancer Research UK Medical Oncology Unit at Churchill Hospital in Oxford, England.


 

Patient selection: A phase I trial patient: cancer patient usually has failed standard treatment or has a cancer for which there is no standard therapy. The trial helps to identify side effects, determine a maximum tolerated dose and evaluate tumor response.

 

Outcome: overall survival

 

Parameters:

(1) ECOG performance status

(2) white blood cell count in 10^9/L

(3) hemoglobin in g/dL

(4) serum LDH in IU/L

(5) number of sites with metastases

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

ECOG PS

0 or 1

0

 

2 to 4

1

WBC count

<= upper limit normal

0

 

> upper limit normal

1

Hemoglobin

>= 12 g/dL

0

 

< 12 g/dL

1

serum LDH

<= upper limit normal

0

 

> upper limit normal

1

metastatic sites

0 to 2

0

 

>= 3

1

 

score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 5

• The higher the score the worse the overall survival.

 

Score

Risk

Median Survival

0 or 1

good

321 days

2

intermediate

257 days

3 to 5

poor

117 days

 


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