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Description

Fernandes et al identified prognostic factors for a woman with bowel obstruction cause by ovarian cancer. These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from McGill University and Montreal General Hospital.


 

Patient selection: woman with bowel obstruction secondary to ovarian cancer

 

Parameters evaluated by univariate analysis:

(1) age in years at the time of ovarian cancer diagnosis

(2) ascites

(3) serum albumin concentration

(4) blood urea nitrogen (BUN) concentration

(5) serum alkaline phosphatase concentration

(6) history of previous radiotherapy

(7) tumor stage

(8) abdominal X-ray findings

(9) interval between diagnosis of ovarian cancer and onset of obstruction

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

<= 60 years of age

0

 

> 60 yearsof age

1

ascites

absent

0

 

present

1

serum albumin

normal

0

 

low

1

serum BUN

normal

0

 

elevated

1

serum alkaline phosphatase

normal

0

 

elevated

1

history of radiotherapy

present

0

 

absent

1

tumor stage

Stage I or II

0

 

Stage III or IV

1

abdominal X-ray

bowel obstruction

0

 

normal or ileus

1

interval from tumor diagnosis

long

0

 

short (<= 100 weeks)

1

 

number of factors associated with a worse prognosis =

= SUM(points for all 9 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of factors: 0

• maximum number of factors: 9

• The more factors that are present the worse the prognosis.

 

Limitations:

• The study performed a univariate analysis. A promised multivariate analysis could not be found.

 


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