Description

Argiris et al identified prognostic factors associated with survival in patients with recurrent or metastatic carcinoma of the head and neck. This can help identify patients who may benefit from more aggressive or investigational therapies. The authors are from Northwestern University, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and the Johns Hopkins University.


 

Patient selection: recurrent or metastatic head and neck carcinoma

 

Prognostic factors:

(1) weight loss

(2) ECOG performance scale

(3) tumor differentiation

(4) tumor location

(5) history of previous radiation therapy

Prognostic Factor

Finding

Points

weight loss

<= 5%

0

 

> 5%

1

ECOG performance scale

PS 0

0

 

PS 1

1

tumor differentiation

well-differentiated

1

 

moderately differentiated

1

 

poorly differentiated

0

tumor location

oral cavity

1

 

hypopharynx

1

 

other location

0

history of previous radiation therapy

no

0

 

yes

1

 

number of adverse factors =

= SUM(points for all 5 factors)

 

Factors associated with 2 year survival

(1) ECOG performance scale

(2) tumor differentiation

(3) history of previous radiation therapy

(4) response to chemotherapy

(5) race

 

Survival Factor

Finding

Points

ECOG performance scale

PS 0

1

 

PS 1

0

tumor differentiation

well-differentiated (Grade I)

0

 

moderately differentiated (Grade II)

0

 

poorly differentiated (Grade III)

1

history of previous radiation therapy

no

1

 

yes

0

response to chemotherapy

complete response

1

 

partial response

1

 

no response

0

race

Caucasian/White

1

 

other

0

 

number of 2 year survival factors =

= SUM(points for all 5 factors)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of adverse risk factors: 0

• maximum number of adverse risk factors: 5

• minimum number of survival factors: 0

• maximum number of survival factors: 5

 

Adverse Factors

Median Survival

2 Year Survival

5 Year Survival

0 to 2

1 year

28%

7%

3 to 5

0.5 years

6%

1%

 


To read more or access our algorithms and calculators, please log in or register.