Description

Leung et al developed a clinical prediction rule for diagnosing the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) in the Emergency Department. This involves 2 scores - Step 1 and Step 2. The authors are from multiple hospitals in Hong Kong and the Hospital Authority SARS Collaborative Group.


 

Patient selection: patient coming to the ED with respiratory complaints during SARS outbreak

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) contact history

(3) fever on presentation (tympanic temperature >= 38°C)

(4) sputum on presentation

(5) chest radiograph

(6) absolute lymphocyte count per µL

(8) absolute neutrophil count per µL

(9) platelet count per µL

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 18 years

-1

 

18 to 64 years of age

0

 

>= 65 years of age

-6

contact history

no

0

 

yes

7

fever on presentation

no

0

 

yes

5

sputum on presentation

no

0

 

yes

-4

chest radiograph

normal

0

 

haziness

8

 

pneumonia, unilateral lesion, bilateral lesion

8

absolute lymphocyte count

< 1,500 per µL

5

 

1,500 to 4,000 per µL

0

 

> 4,000 per µL

5

absolute neutrophil count

< 2,000 per µL

4

 

2,000 to 7,500 per µL

0

 

> 7,500 per µL

-5

platelet count

< 150,000 per µL

5

 

150,000 to 400,000 per µL

0

 

> 400,000 per µL

-5

 

total score for step 2 =

= SUM(points for all 9 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: -20

• maximum score: +34

• A score >= 8 indicates a high-risk group.

• A score < 8 indicates a low-risk group.

 

Performance:

• The Step 1 score has a sensitivity of 95%.

 


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