Description

DeMatteo et al identified risk factors associated with recurrence of a localized gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) following. These can help identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York City.


 

Patient selection: localized GIST completely resected

 

Parameters:

(1) diameter in centimeters

(2) mitotic rate in 50 high powered microscopic fields (hpf)

(3) anatomic location

Parameter

Finding

Hazard Ratio (HR)

diameter

< 10 cm

1

 

>= 10 cm

2.5

mitotic rate per 50 hpf

< 5

1

 

>= 5

3

location

stomach or colorectal

1

 

small intestine

14.6

 

where:

• Diameter and mitotic rate are determinants of malignancy.

 

cumulative hazard ratio for recurrence =

= PRODUCT(HR for each parameter)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum cumulative HR: 1

• maximum cumulative HR: 109.5

• The higher the cumulative HR the greater the risk of recurrence.

 

KIT mutations affected prognosis in univariate analysis but not in the multi-variate analysis.

 

KIT Mutation

Rate of Recurrence

exon 11 point mutations and insertions

lowest

none

intermediate

exon 9

higher rate of recurrence

exon 11 deletions involving W557 and/or K558

higher rate of recurrence

 


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