Description

Cannon et al identified factors that may predict development of psychosis in an adolescent or young adult who is at increased risk. A patient at high risk may benefit from earlier and more aggressive management. The authors are from multiple hospitals and universities in the United States and Canada.


 

Patient selection: adolescent or young adult identified as high clinical risk for psychosis using the Structured Interview for Prodromal Syndromes (SIPS) criteria.

 

35% of patients in the study developed psychosis during the 2.5 year follow-up period.

 

Predictors:

(1) genetic risk for schizophrenia with deterioration in social, role and/or psychological functioning in the past year

(2) higher level of unusual thought content

(3) higher level of paranoia or suspicion

(4) a higher level of social impairment

(5) history of substance (drug and/or alcohol) abuse

 

Combinations having the highest Youden score (30 out of 100):

(1) item 1 and 3

(2) item 1 and 4

(3) item 3 and 4

(4) items 1 and 3 and 4

 

Combinations with 2 items performed as well as combinations with more items.

 

Performance:

• The sensitivities range from 48 to 67% and the specificities from 63 to 82%.

• The highest Youden index was 30 out of 100, which is mediocre.

 


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