Description

Blackmore et al identified risk factors predicting major hemorrhage in a patient with a pelvic fracture. This can help identify a patient who may require more aggressive fluid and surgical management. The authors are from the University of Washington in Seattle.


 

Criteria for major pelvic hemorrhage - one or more of the following:

(1) arterial extravasation seen on angiography

(2) large pelvic hematoma identified on CT scan

(3) large transfusion requirement in the absence of any other source of hemorrhage

 

Parameters:

(1) displaced obturator ring fracture

(2) displaced pelvic pubic symphysis

(3) hematocrit

(4) pulse

Parameter

Finding

Points

displaced obturator ring fracture

none

0

 

< 1 cm

0

 

>= 1 cm

1

displaced pubic symphysis

none

0

 

< 1 cm

0

 

>= 1 cm

1

hematocrit

> 30%

0

 

<= 30%

1

pulse

< 130 beats per minute

0

 

>= 130 beats per minute

1

 

number of risk factors =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 4

• The risk of major hemorrhage increases with the number of risk factors present.

 

Number of Risk Factors

Probability of Major Hemorrhage

0

1.6%

1

14%

2

46%

3 or 4

66%

 

Performance:

• The maximum Youden index was with >= 2 predictors, with sensitivity 75% and specificity of 83%.

 


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