Ohn et al reported a model predictive of subungual melanoma in situ. This can help to identify a patient who should undergo a more complete evaluation. The authors are from Seoul National University, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, and Stanford University.
Patient selection: subungual pigmentation
Outcome: longitudinal melanonychia vs subungual melanoma in situ
Method of analysis: dermoscopy
Parameters:
(1) width of the pigmentation in mm
(2) multicolor pigmentation
(3) asymmetry
(4) border fading
(5) Hutchinson's sign (periungual pigmentation of the nail fold or hyponychium)
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
width of pigmentation |
< 3 mm |
0 |
|
>= 3 to 5.9 mm |
1 |
|
>= 6 mm |
2 |
multicolor pigmentation |
absent |
0 |
|
present |
1 |
asymmetry |
absent |
0 |
|
present |
2 |
border fading |
absent |
0 |
|
present |
1 |
Hutchinson's sign |
negative |
0 |
|
positive |
2 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 8
• The higher the score the greater the risk of subungual melanoma.
Score |
Sensitivity |
Specificity |
>= 0 |
1.00 |
0 |
>= 1 |
1.00 |
0.23 |
>= 2 |
1.00 |
0.50 |
>= 3 |
0.89 |
0.62 |
>= 4 |
0.84 |
0.73 |
>= 5 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
>= 6 |
0.79 |
0.92 |
>= 7 |
0.42 |
1.00 |
8 |
0.32 |
1.00 |
Performance:
• The reported area under the ROC curve is 0.91.
Specialty: Hematology Oncology, Dermatology