Description

Ohn et al reported a model predictive of subungual melanoma in situ. This can help to identify a patient who should undergo a more complete evaluation. The authors are from Seoul National University, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, and Stanford University.


Patient selection: subungual pigmentation

 

Outcome: longitudinal melanonychia vs subungual melanoma in situ

 

Method of analysis: dermoscopy

 

Parameters:

(1) width of the pigmentation in mm

(2) multicolor pigmentation

(3) asymmetry

(4) border fading

(5) Hutchinson's sign (periungual pigmentation of the nail fold or hyponychium)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

width of pigmentation

< 3 mm

0

 

>= 3 to 5.9 mm

1

 

>= 6 mm

2

multicolor pigmentation

absent

0

 

present

1

asymmetry

absent

0

 

present

2

border fading

absent

0

 

present

1

Hutchinson's sign

negative

0

 

positive

2

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 8

• The higher the score the greater the risk of subungual melanoma.

 

Score

Sensitivity

Specificity

>= 0

1.00

0

>= 1

1.00

0.23

>= 2

1.00

0.50

>= 3

0.89

0.62

>= 4

0.84

0.73

>= 5

0.84

0.82

>= 6

0.79

0.92

>= 7

0.42

1.00

8

0.32

1.00

 

Performance:

• The reported area under the ROC curve is 0.91.


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