Description

Wang et al developed a model for predicting 1-year mortality for a patient with an acute ischemic stroke. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from John Hunter Hospita in Australia.


 

Patient selection: acute ischemic stroke

 

Outcome: mortality at 1 year

 

Parameters:

(1) level of consciouisness

(2) dysphagia

(3) urinary incontinence

(4) laterality of findings

(5) body temperature

(6) ischemic heart disease

(7) peripheral vascular disease

(8) diabetes mellitus

Parameter

Finding

Points

level of consciousness

unconscious

3

 

not unconscious

0

dysphagia

absent

0

 

present

7

urinary incontinence

absent

0

 

present

9

laterality of findings

unilateral (left or right)

0

 

bilateral

4

body temperature

hyperthermia

4

 

no hyperthermia

0

ischemic heart disease

absent

0

 

present

3

peripheral vascular disase

absent

0

 

present

3

diabetes mellitus

absent

0

 

present

2

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 35

• The higher the score the worse the survival.

• A score >= 10 was considered high risk with a 1 year-mortality rate of 76%

 


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