Li et al reported a prediction model for mortality in a neonate with pulmonary hemorrhage. The authors are from Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University.
Patient selection: neonate with pulmonary hemorrhage
Parameters:
(1) birth weight in grams
(2) intraventricular hemorrhage
(3) heart failure
(4) sepsis
Parameter
Finding
Points
birth weight
<= 1,000 g
10
1,001 to 1,499
8
1,500 to 2,499
6
>= 2,500
4
intraventricular hemorrhage
no
0
Grade 1
2
Grade 2
4
Grade 3
6
Grade 4
8
heart failure
no
0
yes
11
sepsis
no
0
yes
11
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 4
• maximum score: 40
• A score <= 9 is low risk for mortality and a score >= 10 is high risk.
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.79.
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