Description

Following the initial infection with HIV-1, there is an asymptomatic period. The level of HIV-1 RNA during the asymptomatic period can serve to predict which patients will progress to clinical infection. Moreover, the level of RNA can serve as a guide to the adequacy of therapy. It also can indicate the risk of transmitting infection to others.


 

Methodology for RNA quantitation:

(1) branched DNA signal amplification (bDNA)

(2) reverse transcriptase PCR (RT-PCR)

(3) nucleic acid sequence based amplification (NASBA)

 

Suggested frequency of HIV RNA measurement (Saag, 1996):

(1) baseline: 2 measurements, 2-4 weeks apart

(2) every 3-4 months, or in conjunction with CD4+ counts

(3) shorter intervals as critical decision points are neared

(4) 3-4 weeks after initiating or changing therapy

 

Prognosis and Initiation of Therapy

 

The higher the number of HIV-1 RNA copies:

(1) the higher the percentage progressing to clinical AIDS

(2) the shorter the interval to development of clinical AIDS

(3) the higher the mortality rate

(4) the greater the transmission rate

Number of copies per mL

Interpretation

< 1,000 copies

very very low, with very low rate of progression

1,000 - 5,000 copies

very low levels

5,000 - 10,000

low to moderate levels

10,000 - 30,000

moderate levels

30,000 - 50,000

over half will develop clinical AIDs within 6 years of baseline visit

50,000 - 100,000

high levels

> 100,000:

very high levels, associated with rapid progression

 

Plasma HIV RNA level that suggests initiation of treatment (Saag, 1996)

(1) more than 5,000- 10,000 copies per mL and a CD4+ count or clinical status suggestive of progression

(2) > 30,000 - 50,000 regardless of laboratory or clinical status

 

Monitoring during Therapy

 

Target level of HIV RNA after initiation of therapy: undetectable but < 5,000 copies per mL acceptable:

(1) minimal decrease in HIV RNA indicative of antiviral activity: a greater than 0.5 * log10 decrease

(2) a 10-fold decrease from baseline correlates with a significant reduction in risk for progression to AIDS or death

 

Drug Resistance

 

A change in HIV RNA that suggests drug treatment failure: return to, or within 0.3 to 0.5 * log10 of, pretreatment value (Saag, 1996)

 


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