Description

Zhang et al developed a clinicopathologic model and nomogram for predicting postoperative recurrence in a patient with Stage Ia non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center in China.


 

Patient selection: Stage Ia non-small cell lung cancer

 

Outcome: 3 year recurrence-free survival

 

Parameters:

(1) location

(2) T stage

(3) histologic grade (high grade = large cell carcinoma, solid predominant, micropapillary adenocarcinoma)

(4) differentiation

(5) lymphovascular invasion

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

location

peripheral

0

 

central

83.4

T stage

T1a

0

 

T1b

78

histologic grade

low-grade

0

 

high-grade

100

differentiation

well-differentiated

0

 

moderately differentiated

0

 

poorly differentiated

67

lymphovascular invasion

none

0

 

present

79

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 427.4

• The higher the score the worse the prognosis.

 

Score

Probability of 3-Year Recurrence-Free Survival

< 39

> 90%

39 to 207.6

(-0.000882 * ((points)^2)) - (0.01891 * (points)) + 92.4

207.6 to 338.6

(0.00086 * ((points)^2)) - (0.82 * (points)) + 183.6

> 338.6

< 5%

 


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