Description

Wang et al reported a nomogram for predicting radiation pneumonitis following radiation therapy for esophageal cancer. The authors are from Shandong University in Jinan, China.


Patient selection: esophageal cancer treated with radiation therapy, ECOG performance status 0 to 3

 

Parameters:

(1) subjective global assessment (SGA) class (A, B or C)

(2) ECOG performance score from 0 to 3

(3) planning target volume to total lung volume ratio (PTV/LV)

(4) mean lung dose (MLD) in Gray

(5) the ratio of change at 4 weeks in the systemic immune inflammation index (SII)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

SGA class

A

0

 

B

85.8

 

C

100

ECOG

0 or 1

0

 

2 or 3

81.68

PTV to LV ratio

< 0.11

0

 

>= 0.11

48.39

mean lung dose

< 12 Gy

0

 

>= 12 Gy

56.68

ratio of change in SII at 4 weeks

< 1.5

0

 

>= 1.5

72.58

 

where:

The method to calculate the ratio of change in the SII is not clearly states. It may be ((SII at 4 weeks) - (SII at baseline)) / (SII at baseline).

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: 0

maximum score: 359.33

The higher the score the greater the risk of radiation pneumonitis.

 

X =

= (0.02021 * (score)) - 4.703

 

probability of radiation pneumonitis =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))


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