Description

Tunthanathip and Udomwitthayaphiban reported a nomogram for predicting mortality following a penetrating traumatic brain injury (TBI). The authors are from Songklanagarind Hospital and Prince of Songkla University in Thailand.


Patient selection: penetrating traumatic brain injury

 

Parameters:

(1) hypotension (blood pressure less than 90/60)

(2) pupillary reaction to light

(3) midline shift in mm

 

points for baseline shift =

= (shift) * 10

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

hypotension

no

0

 

yes

59.2

pupillary reaction to light

normal

0

 

abnormal

71.4

 

total score =

= SUM(points for both parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 230.7

 

probability of death =

= (0.007589 * (score)) - 0.4109

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.86.

 

Additional findings associated with mortality from the univariate analysis:

(1) hypoxia

(2) bihemispheric injuries

(3) multilobar injuries

(4) subarachnoid hemorrhage

(5) intraventircular hemorrhage

(6) basal cistern effacement


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