Description

Tseng et al developed a nomogram for predicting survival of a woman with cervical cancer treated with concurrent chemoradiation. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive or novel therapies. The authors are from Taipei Veterans General Hospital and National Yang-Ming University in Taiwan.


 

Patient selection: Stage IIB to IVA

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) baseline serum SCC antigen concentration in ng/mL

(3) maximum tumor diameter in cm (on CT or MRI)

(4) parameterial invasion

(5) hydronephrosis

(6) invasion of bladder and/or rectum

(7) lymph node metastases

 

Age in Years

Points

<= 30 years

0

30 to 90 years

(0.9283 * (age in years)) - 27.849

> 90 years

55.7

 

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

SCC antigen

< 1.6 in ng/mL

0

 

1.6 to 5.0

11.1

 

5.1 to 15

22.6

 

> 15

34

tumor size

< 4 cm

0

 

4 to 6 cm

13.7

 

> 6

30.9

parametrial invasion

absent

0

 

present

16.9

hydronephrosis

absent

0

 

present

20.6

bladder and/or rectum invasion

absent

0

 

present

28.2

lymph node metastases

absent

0

 

pelvic

16.8

 

para-aortic

34.3

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 7 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 221

• The higher the score the worse the prognosis

 

Score

Mean Survival in Months

<27.3

> 56 months

 

62.92 - (0.2589 * (points))

> 216

< 6 months

 

Limitation:

• The method for quantitating the SCC antigen and the normal reference range were not mentioned.

 


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