Description

Ouldamer et al reported a nomogram for predicting the prognosis of a patient with endometrial cancer. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from multiple institutions in France belonging to the FRANCOGYN study group.


Patient selection: woman with endometrial cancer confined to the corpus uteri

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) surgical nodal staging (sentinel lymph node; pelvic or para-aortic lymphadenopathy)

(3) histologic type

(4) histologic grade

(5) lymphovascular space invasion

(6) FIGO stage (primary tumor confined to corpus uteri)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 60 years

0

 

>= 60 years

50

surgical nodal staging

no

75

 

yes

0

histologic type

I (endometrioid)

0

 

II (serous, clear cell, carcinosarcoma)

92

histologic grade

I (well-differentiated)

0

 

II

50

 

III (poorly-differentiated)

98

lymphovascular space invasion

no

0

 

yes

100

FIGO stage

I

0

 

II

60

 

III

65

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 6 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: 0

maximum score: 480

The higher the score the worse the prognosis.

 

value of X =

= (-0.00002202 * ((score)^2)) + (0.0002084 * (score)) + 2.954

 

Total Score

Probability of 3-Year Relapse-Free Survival

< 196

> 90%

>= 196

1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

The area under the ROC curve is 0.82 for the training set and 0.75 for the validation set.


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