Description

Macones et al developed a nomogram for predicting the probability of cesarean section in a primipara. The authors are from Washington University in St. Louis and Saint Louis University.


 

Patient: primipara

 

Outcome: probability of cesarean section

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years (from 14 to 40)

(2) fetal-pelvic index (FPI, from -70 to +30)

(3) race

(4) labor method

 

points for age =

= (1.065 * (age)) - 14.92

 

points for fetal-pelvic index =

= (fetal-pelvic index) + 70

Parameter

Finding

Points

race

Black

2

 

non-Black

0

labor method

spontaneous

0

 

augmented or induced

12.2

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 142

• The higher the score the greater the probability of cesarean section.

 

Total Score

Probability in Percent

< 55

< 1%

55 to 81

(0.03698 * ((points)^2)) - (4.298 * (points)) + 125.5

81 to 98

(2.96 * (points)) - 220.4

98 to 108

(-0.09428 * ((points)^2)) + (21.44 * (points)) - 1126

> 108

> 90%

 


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