Nomogram of Liang et al for Predicting Overall Survival for a Patient with Hodgkin's Disease

Description

Liang et al reported a nomogram for predicting overall survival for a patient with Hodgkin's disease. The authors are from Hangzhou Medical College, Guangdong Medical University, Southern Medial University, Sun-Yat-sen University, Shenzhen University, and affiliated hospitals.

Patient selection: Hodgkin's disease

Parameters:

(1) Hodgkin disease subtype

(2) clinical stage

(3) radiation therapy

(4) chemotherapy

Parameter	Finding	Points
subtype	nodular lymphocyte predominant	0
	nodular sclerosis	33
	lymphocyte rich	40
	mixed cellularity	62.5
	lymphocyte depleted	100
	NOS	70
clinical stage	I	0
	II	4
	III	41
	IV	60
radiation therapy	no	41.2
	yes	0
chemotherapy	no	70.3
	yes	0

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 271.5

value of X =

= (-0.00008503 * ((score)^2)) + (0.0006126 * (score)) + 2.967

predicted 5-year survival =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve for 5-year survival was 0.71.

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Nomogram of Liang et al for Predicting Overall Survival for a Patient with Hodgkin's Disease

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