Description

Kutikov et al developed nomograms for predicting death from renal and non-renal cancers for an adult with a localized renal cell carcinoma. The authors are from Fox Chase Cancer Center and Temple University in Philadelphia.


 

Patient selection: localized renal cell carcinoma with age >= 30 years

 

Parameters:

(1) race of the patient

(2) gender of the patient

(3) diameter of the tumor in cm

(4) age of the patient in years

 

Parameter

Finding

Points Renal

Points Nonrenal

race of the patient

black

0

17

 

white

1.7

13

 

other

2.3

0

gender of the patient

female

0

0

 

male

3.8

7.8

 

 

Diameter of the Tumor

Points for Death from Renal Cancer

0 to 8 cm

(-0.645 * ((diameter)^2)) + 13.46 * (diameter)) - 1.109

8 to 20 cm

(2.607 * (diameter)) + 43.93

> 20 cm

96

Diameter of the Tumor

Points for Death from Nonrenal Cancer

0 to 20 cm

(-0.02727 * ((diameter)^2)) - (0.1655 * (diameter)) + 14.05

> 20 cm

0

 

 

Age of the Patient

Points for Death from Renal Cancer

30 to 95 years

(-0.004731 * ((age)^2)) + (1.209 * (age)) - 32.3

> 95 years

40

Age of the Patient

Points for Death from Nonenal Cancer

30 to 70

(-0.02108 * ((age)^2)) + (4.118 * (age)) - 105.8

70 to 95

(-0.002857 * ((age)^2)) + (0.9171 * (age)) + 27.66

> 95

90

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score for death from renal cancer: 142

• maximum score for death from nonrenal cancer: 128

 

Total Points

Probability of Death from Renal Cancer

0 to 19

< 1%

20 to 49

1 to 2%

50 to 59

2%

60 to 100

(0.002857 * ((points)^2)) - (0.2571 * (points)) + 7.114

100 to 130

(0.0125 * ((points)^2)) - (2.245 * (points)) + 109.5

> 130

> 29%

 

 

Total Points

Probability of Death from Nonrenal Cancer

0 to 50

0%

50 to 80

<= 1%

80 to 130

(0.001607 * ((points)^2)) - (0.2004 * (points)) + 6.85

 


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