Description

Kattan et al developed a nomogram for predicting 5 year tumor specific survival in a male undergoing partial or total amputation of the penis for squamous cell carcinoma based solely on pathologic findings. This can help identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the Cleveland Clinic and multiple hospitals in Italy (GUONE Penile Cancer Project).


 

Parameters:

(1) tumor thickness in millimeters

(2) growth pattern

(3) histologic grade

(4) lymphovascular emboli

(5) invasion of corpora cavernosa

(6) invasion of corpora spongiosum

(7) invasion of the urethra

(8) clinical lymph node status

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

tumor thickness

<= 5 mm

0

 

> 5 mm

32

growth pattern

vertical

0

 

superficial

16

histologic grade

Grade 1 (well-differentiated)

0

 

Grade 2

14

 

Grade 3 (poorly differentiated)

35

embolization group

absent

0

 

present

43

invasion of corpora cavernosa

absent

0

 

present

25

invasion of corpora spongiosum

absent

0

 

present

19

invasion of urethra

absent

0

 

present

7.5

pathologic lymph node status

negative (pN0)

0

 

positive (pN+)

93

 

unknown (pNx)

100

 

where:

• Assigning more points to pNx than pN+ seems a bit odd.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 288 by table above (scale in figure goes to 300)

• The higher the score the worse the 5 year survival.

Total Score

Probability of 5 Year Tumor Specific Survival

< 3.5

> 98%

3.5 to 104

(-0.000011 * ((points)^2) + (0.000055 * (points)) + 0.9792

104 to 206

(-0.000028 * ((points)^2) + (0.003252 * (points)) + 0.8306

206 to 272

(0.000056 * ((points)^2)) - (0.03114 * (points)) + 4.341

> 272

< 1%

 


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