Description

Jiang et al reported a nomogram for predicting control of chronic rhinosinusitis 1 year after FESS surgery (functional endoscopic sinus surgery). The authors are from Sun Yat-sen University and Guangzhou University in China.


Parameters:

(1) allergic rhinitis

(2) peripheral blood eosinophil count, probably absolute count in 10^9/L

(3) asthma

(4) tissue eosinophil ratio as a percent

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

allergic rhinitis

no

0

 

yes

38.4

peripheral blood eosinophil count

< 0.3 * 10^9/L

0

 

>= 0.3 * 10^9/L

67.8

asthma

no

0

 

0

96

tissue eosinophil ratio

< 10%

0

 

>= 10%

100

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 302.2

 

value of X =

= (-0.00001135 * ((score)^2)) + (0.01301 * (score)) - 2.223

 

probability of uncontrolled disease after FESS =

= 1 / ( 1 + EXP((-10 * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.76.


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