Description

Ge et al reported a nomogram for identifying postoperative hypoxemia in a patient with acute aortic dissection. The authors are from Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital and Zhejiang University in China.


Patient selection: postoperative following repair of an acute aortic dissection

 

Outcome: postoperative hypoxemia (PaO2 to FIO2 ratio < 200 for the first 2 days after surgery)

 

Parameters:

(1) pH from 7.0 to 7.5

(2) time on cardiopulmonary bypass from 0 to 400 minutes

(3) hematocrit in percent from 15 to 50 percent

(4) age in years from 20 to 100 years

(5) WBC count in 10^9/L from 0 to 25

(6) Stanford classification of the dissection

(7) PaO2 to FIO2 (PF) ratio from 0 to 800

(8) body mass index (BMI) from 15 to 35 kg per square meter

 

points for pH =

= (-92 * (age)) + 695

 

points for cardiopulmonary bypass time =

= (-0.1 * (time)) + 52

 

points for hematocrit =

= (-1.25714 * (hematocrit)) + 67.8571

 

points for age =

= (0.35 * (age)) + 37

 

points for WBC count =

= (2.06 * (WBC)) + 39.5

 

Dissection Type

Points

Stanford A

46

Stanford B

30

 

points for PF ratio =

= (-0.0625 * (ratio)) + 50

 

points for BMI =

= (3 * (BMI)) - 3

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 177.5

• maximum score: 513

• The higher the score the greater the risk of hypoxemia.

 

Total Score

Percent with Hypoxemia

< 306.6

< 0.5%

306.6 to 393.6

X = (0.0922 * (score)) - 33.26

percent = 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

> 393.6

> 90%

 


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