Description

Eom et al developed a nomogram for predicting survival of gastric cancer patients after curative surgery in Korea. It has subsequently been validated in other populations. The authors are from multiple hospitals in the Republic of Korea.


Patient selection: gastric cancer patient after curative resection

 

Outcome: 5-year survival

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) lymph node dissection

(3) location in the stomach

(4) lymphovascular invasion

(5) size in cm

(6) depth of invasion

(7) number of lymph nodes with metastase

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 40

29

 

40 to 50

35.5

 

50 to 60

0

 

60 to 70

44.7

 

> 70

65

lymph node dissection

D1

25

 

D2

0

location in the stomach

upper

0

 

middle

7.2

 

lower

23

 

whole

56.6

lymphovascular invasion

no

0

 

yes

34

size in cm

< 5 cm

0

 

5 to 10 cm

11.2

 

> 10 cm

33.6

depth of invasion

mucosa or submucosa

0

 

muscularis propria

43.3

 

subserosa

84.5

 

serosa

100

number of LN with metastases

0

0

 

1 or 2

27.6

 

3 to 6

51

 

>= 7

91

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 7 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 395.2

• The higher the score the worse the 5-year survival.

 

Total Score

5-Year Survival

< 118

> 90%

118 to 347.4

(-0.0008603 * ((score)^2)) + (0.03341 * (score)) + 99.2

> 347.4

< 10%

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was 0.83.


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