Nomogram of Dong et al for Predicting Survival in a Patient with COVID-19 Pneumonia

Description

Dong et al reported a nomogram for predicting survival for a patient with COVID-19 pneumonia. This can help to identify a patient who may require more aggressive management. The authors are from Tongju Hospital and Tonji Medical College of Huazhong University in Wuhan, China.

Patient selection: patient with COVID-19 pneumonia

Parameters:

(1) hypertension

(2) neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR)

(3) NT-proBNP in pg/mL

Parameter	Finding	Points
hypertension	no	19.5
	yes	0
NLR	< 3	100
	3 to 5.9	36
	6 to 9.9	23
	>= 10	0
NT-proBNP	< 200 mg/mL	74
	200 to 400	36.2
	401 to 800	31.6
	801 to 1600	22
	1601 to 2000	18.4
	> 2,000 pg/mL	0

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 193.4

value of X =

= (-0.00021907 * ((score)^2)) + (0.079351 * (score)) - 3.4276

probability of 21-day survival =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

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Nomogram of Dong et al for Predicting Survival in a Patient with COVID-19 Pneumonia

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