Description

Boer et al developed a nomogram for predicting post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in patients admitted to the intensive care unit for intra-abdominal sepsis. These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from an intervention to reduce the severity of the symptoms. The authors are from Academic Medical Center Amsterdam and the Dutch Peritonitis Study Group.


 

Patient selection: 40 to 80 years of age admitted to the ICU for intra-abdomminal sepsis

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) length of ICU stay in days

(3) gender

(4) major comorbidity (COPD, renal failure, malignancy, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, etc)

(5) other trauma

(6) hospital and ICU memories

 

points for age =

= (-0.3 * (age in yeaers)) + 24

 

ICU Stay

Points

< 5 days

0

5 to 80 days

(0.16 * (days)) – 0.8

> 80 days

12

 

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

female

0

 

male

1

major comorbidity

no

0

 

yes

7

other trauma

no

0

 

yes

8

memories of ICU/hospital

none or mild

0

 

moderate

15

 

severe

40

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 6 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 80

• The higher the score the greater the risk of severe PTSD memories.

 

Score

Probability of Low Symptoms

0 to 40

(-0.03643 * ((points)^2)) + (0.067 * (points)) + 97.71

30 to 70

(0.035 * ((points)^2)) - (5.09 * (points)) + 188.6

> 70

< 4%

 

 

Score

Probability of Moderate Symptoms

0 to 40

(0.02857 * ((points)^2)) + (0.057 * (points)) + 2.114

40 to 70

(-0.06857 * ((points)^2)) + (6.917 * (points)) - 116.1

> 70

< 32%

 

 

Score

Probability of High Symptoms

0 to 20

< 1%

20 to 70

(0.03054 * ((points)^2)) - (1.505 * (points)) + 19.5

> 70

> 64%

 


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