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Description

Berardi et al reported a nomogram for predicting major complications following resection of a hepatocellular carcinoma occurring in a patient with the metabolic syndrome. The authors are from multiple institutions in the United States, Canada, and Europe.


Patient selection: hepatic resection of a hepatocellular carcinoma with the metabolic syndrome

 

Outcome: major morbidity or death

 

Parameters:

(1) body mass index (BMI) in kg per sq meter

(2) diabetes

(3) ischemic heart disease

(4) portal hypertension

(5) approach for hepatectomy

(6) type of hepatectomy

(7) EASL classification

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

body mass index

< 30 kg per sq m

0

 

>= 30 kg per sq m

16.79

diabetes

no

0

 

yes

22.17

ischemic heart disease

no

0

 

yes

31.51

portal hypertension

no

0

 

yes

64.53

surgical approach

minimally invasive

0

 

open

38

type of hepatectomy

minor

0

 

major

100

EASL classification

normal parenchyma

21.38

 

non-alcoholic fatty liver

0

 

NASH

59.39

 

cirrhosis

85.36

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 358.36

 

value of X =

= (0.0151 * (score)) - 4.177

 

risk of major complications =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was 0.73.


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