Description

Albert et al developed a nomogram for an older woman with breast cancer undergoing conservative surgical resection. This can help to determine if radiation therapy is likely to benefit the patient. The authors are from the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center and the University of Chicago.


 

Patient selection: age 66 to 79 with favorable breast cancer treated conservatively

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) race

(3) tumor diameter in cm

(4) estrogen receptor (ER) status

(5) lymph node status and radiation therapy

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

66 to 69 years

20

 

70 to 74 years

26

 

75 to 79 years

0

race

white

16.7

 

black

42.2

 

other

0

tumor size

<= 2.0 cm

0

 

> 2 cm

15.5

er status

positive

0

 

borderline

50

 

negative

50

lymph node status and radiation

clinically negative and no radiation

88.7

 

clinically negative and radiation

0

 

pathologically negative and no radiation

67.7

 

pathologically negative and radiation

23.3

 

pathologically positive and no radiation

100

 

pathologically positive and radiation therapy

26.4

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 234

• The higher the score the worse the mastectomy-free survival (MFS).

 

Score

5-year MFS survival

< 35

> 99%

35 to 131

100.2 – (0.03143 * (score))

131 to 234

(-0.001156 * ((score)^2)) + (0.2171 * (score)) + 87.11

 

 

Score

10-year MFS survival

< 78

> 95%

78 to 234

(-0.001767 * ((score)^2)) + (0.256 * (score)) + 85.5

 

 


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