Description

Pillai et al reported a model for predicting the outcome of a patient with severe diffuse brain injury. The authors are from the National Institute of Mental Health and Neurosciences (NIMHANS).


Patient selection: severe diffuse brain injury

 

Parameters:

(1) horizontal oculocephalic reflex (doll's eyes reflex)

(2) motor score of the GCS, from 1 to 5

(3) midline shift in mm

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

oculocephalic reflex

absent

3

 

present

6

GCS motor score

 

0.5 * (motor score)

midline shift

0 mm

-1

 

>= 5 mm

-3

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters) - 6.6

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: -6.5

maximum score: 1.4

A score < 0 is likely to be unfavorable.

 

Performance:

The score had a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 67% for unfavorable outcome.

The prediction was falsely pessimistic in 33%.


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