Phillips et al reported the New York Sepsis Severity Score for evaluating a patient with sepsis. This can be used to predict the risk of mortality for the patient. The authors are from the Ohio State University, Washington University, IPRO, Greater New York Hospital Association, Brown University and New York State Department of Health.
Patient selection: sepsis, any age
Outcome: mortality
Parameters:
(1) race or ethnicity
(2) payer
(3) site of infection
(4) admission source
(5) lower respiratory tract infection
(6) mechanical ventilation severity (on MV prior to sepsis protocol)
(7) combination of lower respiratory infection and mechanical ventilation
(8) septic shock diagnosis
(9) thrombocytopenia
(10) metastatic cancer
(11) lymphoma, leukemia or multiple myeloma
(12) age in years
(13) comorbidity count
(14) combination of age and comorbidity count
(15) initial serum lactate in mmol/L
(16) initial square of serum lactate
(17) combination of comorbidity count and serum lactate
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
race or ethnicity |
white |
0 |
|
black |
0.188 |
|
hispanic |
-0.073 |
|
multiracial |
0.165 |
|
other |
0.043 |
|
unknown |
0.101 |
payer |
Medicare |
0 |
|
Medicaid |
0.099 |
|
private or HMO |
0.067 |
|
self-pay |
0.646 |
|
other |
-0.023 |
site of infection |
urinary |
0 |
|
respiratory |
0.599 |
|
gastrointestinal |
0.543 |
|
skin |
0.484 |
|
CNS |
0.723 |
|
other |
0.558 |
|
unknown |
0.9 |
admission source |
nonhealth facility |
0 |
|
clinic |
-0.033 |
|
different hospital |
0.418 |
|
skilled nursing facility |
0.289 |
|
another healthcare facility |
0.278 |
|
between unit transfer |
0.459 |
|
hospice |
0.727 |
|
other |
-0.33 |
lower respiratory tract infection |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
0.281 |
mechanical ventilation severity |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
0.519 |
lower respiratory tract infection and MV |
both yes |
-0.398 |
|
other |
0 |
sepsis diagnosis |
severe |
0 |
|
septic shock |
0.770 |
thrombocytopenia |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
0.285 |
metastatic cancer |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
0.46 |
lymphoma, etc |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
0.135 |
age |
|
0.06 * (age) |
comorbidity count |
|
2.41 * SQRT(count) |
combination of age and comorbidity |
|
-0.021 * age * SQRT(comorbidity) |
serum lactate |
|
0.245 * (lactate) |
serum lactate squared |
|
-0.002 *((lactate)^2) |
combination comorbidity and serum lactate |
|
-0.043 * (lactate) * SQRT(comorbidity) |
total score =
= SUM(points for all 17 coefficients) - 8.548
probability of mortality =
= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))
Perforrmance:
• The area under the ROC curve in the original study is 0.77.
Specialty: Emergency Medicine, Critical Care, Pulmonology, Infectious Diseases