Description

Sumi et al reported a modified Essen Stroke Risk Score for the prediction of recurrent stroke.


Difference from original ESRS: addition of stroke subtype, waist circumference and sex

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) hypertension

(3) diabetes mellitus

(4) previous myocardial infarction

(5) other cardiovascular disease (excluding MI and atrial fibrillation)

(6) peripheral artery disease

(7) smoking

(8) TIA or ischemic stroke in addition to qualifying event

(9) stroke subtype

(10) waist circumference in cm

(11) sex

 

Parameters

Findings

Points

age in years

< 65 years

0

 

65 to 75 years

1

 

> 75 years

2

hypertension

no

0

 

yes

1

diabetes mellitus

no

0

 

yes

1

previous myocardial infarction

no

0

 

yes

1

other cardiovascular disease

no

0

 

yes

1

peripheral arterial disease

no

0

 

yes

1

smoking

no

0

 

yes

1

additional TIA or stroke

no

0

 

yes

1

stroke subtype

small artery occlusion

0

 

other

1

waist circumference

< 90 cm

0

 

>= 90 cm

1

sex

female

0

 

male

1

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 12

• For males, the high-risk group had a score >= 6.

• For females, the high-risk group had a score >= 5.

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve for ischemic stroke is 0.632.


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