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Model of Reverter et al for Predicting Mortality for a Patient with Acute Variceal Bleeding

Description

Reverter et al used the MELD score to predict mortality for a patient with acute variceal bleediing. The authors are from University of Barcelona, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (Barcelona), University of Alberta and Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona.


Patient selection: acute variceal bleeding associated with cirrhosis

 

Outcome: death within 6 weeks

 

Parameter:

(1) MELD score

 

X =

= (0.207 * (MELD)) - 5.312

 

probability of mortality =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))


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