Description

Noticewala et al reported a model for predicting the need of blood transfusion after total knee arthroplasty. The authors are from New York-Presbyterian Hospital and Columbia University in New York City.


Patient selection: total knee arthroplasty

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) history of anemia

(3) surgical time in minutes

(4) preoperative hemoglobin in g/dL

 

X =

= (0.06 * (age)) + (1.7 * (points for anemia history)) + (0.02 * (surgical time)) - (0.57 * (hemoglobin)) - 1.02

 

probability of needing a blood transfusion =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

The sensitivity was 90% and specificity 53%.

 

Recommendations to minimize blood loss:

(1) limit the incision to only that which is required to construct an optimal surgical window

(2) cauterize bleeding surfaces in a timely manner

(3) use a cemented TKA

(4) use a tourniquet

(5) make a thorough expeditious closure


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