Description

Liu et al reported a nomogram to help distinguish Kawasaki disease from sepsis in a young child. The authors are from Shenzhen Baoan Women's and Children's Hospital and Jinan University in China and Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan.


Patient selection: fever in a child less than 5 years old

 

Parameters:

(1) WBC count in 10^9/L

(2) hemoglobin level

(3) procalcitonin in ng/mL

(4) serum CRP in mg/L

(5) serum albumin in g/L

(6) serum ALT in U/L

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

WBC count

>= 19.71 * 10^9/L

0

 

< 19.71 * 10^9/L

96.1

hemoglobin level

normal

0

 

low (anemia)

40.4

procalcitonin

> 0.5 ng/mL

0

 

<= 0.5 ng/mL

57.7

serum CRP

>= 59.11

0

 

< 59.11

52.7

serum albumin

>= 39.35 g/L

0

 

< 39.35 g/L

58.6

serum ALT

<= 40 IU/L

0

 

> 40 U/L

100

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 405.5

• A score > 175 is associated with a high risk of Kawasaki disease.

 

value of X =

= (0.02142 * (score)) - 3.756

 

probability of Kawasaki disease =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.87.


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