Description

Li et al developed a model for predicting surgical site infection after resection of a perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (Klatskin tumor). The authors are from Dingxi People's Hospital, Lanzhou University, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children and Sichuan University.


Patient selection: radical resection of a perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (hepatectomy combined with hepaticojejunostomy)

 

Outcome: surgical site infection (superficial or deep incisional, organ space)

 

Parameters:

(1) coexisting cholangiolithiasis

(2) history of previous abdominal surgery

(3) blood loss in mL

(4) bile leakage

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

coexisting cholangiolithiasis

no

0

 

yes

1.91

history of previous abdominal surgery

no

0

 

yes

1.77

blood loss

<= 1,500 mL

0

 

> 1,500 mL

1.56

bile leakage

no

0

 

yes

2.73

 

X =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters) - 4.12

 

probability of surgical site infection =

= 1 / (1+EXP((-1)*X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.85.


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