Li et al reported a model for predicting colorectal adenomatous polyps in an adult. This can help to identify a patient to monitor more closely. The authors are from Nanjing Medical University.
Patient selection: adult with age >= 18 years
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) gender
(3) hyperlipidemia
(4) high consumption of red meat
(5) high consumption of salt
(6) high consumption of dietary fiber
(7) Helicobacter pylori
(8) NAFLD
(9) chronic diarrhea
Parameter
Finding
Polyps
age in years
18 to 45 years
0
46 to 69 years
51.7
> 69 years
100
gender
female
0
male
10
hyperlipidemia
no
0
yes
10
high consumption red meat
no
0
yes
23.8
high consumption of salt
no
0
yes
33.6
high consumption of fiber
no
15.4
yes
0
H pylori
no
0
yes
28
NAFLD
no
0
yes
18.2
chronic diarrhea
no
0
yes
25.5
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 264.4
value of X =
= (0.02641 * (score)) - 1.797
probability of colorectal adenomatous polyps =
= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.78.
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