Description

Keihani et al reported a logistic regression model and nomogram for predicting the need for a bleeding intervention for a patient with high-grade renal trauma. The authors are from multiple institutions in the United States.


Patient selection: high-grade renal trauma (AAST Grade 3, 4 or 5)

 

Outcome: intervention to control bleeding

 

Parameters:

(1) trauma mechanism

(2) hypotension or shock

(3) concomitant injuries

(4) vascular contrast extravasation

(5) para-renal hematoma

(6) hematoma rim distance in cm (largest measure from edge of the kidney to the hematoma rim), from 0 to 12

 

Parameter

Finding

Points LRM

Nomogram

trauma mechanism

blunt

0

0

 

penetrating

1.586

34

hypotension or shock

no

0

0

 

yes

0.749

16

concomitant injuries

no

0

0

 

yes

0.768

16.5

vascular contrast extravasation

no

0

0

 

yes

1.355

29

para-renal hematoma

no

0

0

 

yes

0.927

20

hematoma rim distance

 

0.389 * (cm)

8.33 * (cm)

 

value of X =

= SUM(points) - 5.109

 

probability of needing a bleeding intervention =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))


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