Description

Huang et al reported a model for predicting hyperuricemia in a diabetic patient with nephropathy. The authors are from Ningbo University in China.


Patiemt: diabetic nephropathy

 

Parameters:

(1) gender

(2) family history of type 2 diabetes

(3) history of drinking alcohol (not elaborated on)

(4) body mass index (BMI) in kg per square meter

(5) eGFR in mL per min per 1.73 square meters

(6) hyperlipidemia

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

male

0

 

female

8.9

family history of diabetes

no

0

 

yes

10.4

history of drinking

no

0

 

yes

22.3

BMI

<= 24 kg per sq m

0

 

24.01 to 28

10.4

 

> 28 kg per sq m

25.2

eGFR

> 120

0

 

90 to 120

39.3

 

60 to 89

70.1

 

30 to 59

100

 

< 30 mL/min/1.73 sq m

85.3

hyperlipidemia

no

0

 

yes

18.9

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 185.7

• The higher the score the greater the risk of hyperuricemia.

 

value of X =

= (0.02866 * (score)) - 2.366

 

probability of hyperuricemia =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.84.


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