Description

Huang et al reported a model for predicting facial computed tomography (CT) in a blunt trauma patient. Facial CT can identify facial fractures that might be missed on brain CT. The authors are from National Yang-Ming University and Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan.


Patient selection: blunt trauma

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) sex

(3) type of injury

(4) loss of consciousness

(5) epistaxis

(6) tooth rupture

(7) facial traumatic lesion

(8) intracranial hemorrhage

(9) skull fracture

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

 

-0.01 * (age)

sex

female

0

 

male

0.43

type of injury

fall from elevation

0.834

 

motorcycle collision

0.545

 

other

0

loss of consciousness

no

0

 

yes

1.048

epistaxis

no

0

 

yes

2.13

tooth rupture

no

0

 

yes

1.148

facial lesion

no

0

 

yes

3.412

intracranial hemorrhage

no

0

 

yes

0.527

skull fracture

no

0

 

yes

1.295

 

value of X =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters) - 4.721

 

probability of facial CT =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.90 in the derivation and 0.91 in the validation cohorts.


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