Description

Fisher et al developed a model for predicting the risk of recurrence for a patient with congenital diaphragmatic hernia. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from closer monitoring. The authors are from Morgan Stanley Children's Hospital of New York Presbyterian and Columbia University in New York City.


 

Parameters:

(1) type of closure

(2) postoperative length of hospital stay, in days

Type of Closure

Points

primary

0

abdominal patch

1

 

X =

= (1.25 * (points for type of closure)) + (0.012 * (length of stay)) - 2.811

 

probability of recurrence =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 


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