Diez et al reported a model for predicting Stage III necrotizing enterocolitis in a neonate. The authors are from University Hospital Erlangen, Friedrich-Alexander-Universitat Erlangen-Nurnberg, Heidelberg University and University of Marburg,
Patient selection: neonate with necrotizing enterocolitis
Parameters:
(1) RBC transfusion
(2) pathologic changes on abdominal ultrasonography
(3) cardiac status
Parameter
Finding
Points
RBC transfusion
no
0
yes
1.1934
changes on ultrasonography
no
0
yes
1.8713
cardiac status
congenital heart disease
-1.9409
patent ductus arteriosus
-2.5942
neither
-3.6416
value of X =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
probability of Bell Stage III NEC =
= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve was 0.78.
To read more or access our algorithms and calculators, please log in or register.
