Description

Algar et al reported a model for predicting pulmonary complications after pneumonectomy for lung cancer. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management to reduce the risk. The authors are from University Hospital Reina Sofia in Cordoba, Spain.


Patient selection: pneumonectomy for lung cancer

 

Outcome: pulmonary complications within 30-days of thoracotomy or before hospital discharge: nosocomial pneumonia, atelectasis, respiratory failure, postpneumonectomy pulmonary edema, postoperative ventilator dependence more than 24 hours, reintubation, pneumothorax of contralateral lung

 

Parameters:

(1) anesthesia time in minutes

(2) predicted postoperative FEV1 in mL per second

(3) heart disease

(4) COPD

(5) record of previous chest physiotherapy

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

anesthesia time

 

0.0117 * (time)

ppo FEV1

 

-0.0024 * (FEV1)

heart disease

no

0

 

yes

0.9941

COPD

no

0

 

yes

0.8228

chest physiotherapy

no

0.9705

 

yes

0

 

X =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters) - 0.8675

 

probability of pulmonary complications =

= 1 /(1+ EXP((-1) * X))


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