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Description

Nagai et al reported a laboratory prediction score (LPS) for a terminally ill patient with a gastrointestinal malignancy. This can identify a patient with short life-expectancy. The authors are from Japanese Red Cross Aichi Medical Center in Nagoya.


Patient selection: terminally ill patient with a gastrointestinal carcinoma

 

Parameters:

(1) serum total bilirubin in mg/dL

(2) blood urea nitrogen (BUN) in mg/dL

(3) percent eosinophils in the differential count

(4) neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR)

(5) platelet count

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

serum total bilirubin

< 2.1 mg/dL

0

 

>= 2.1 mg/dL

1

serum BUN

< 28 mg/dL

0

 

>= 28 mg/dL

1

percent eosinophils

<= 0.5%

1

 

> 0.5%

0

NLR

< 9.2

0

 

>= 9.2

1

platelet count

<= 194,000 per µL

1

 

> 194,000 per µL

0

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 5

 

Score

Median Overall Survival

0 or 1

40 days

2 or 3

20 days

4 or 5

7 days

 

 

Score

14-Day Survival

0

100%

1

94%

2

87%

3

60%

4

32%

5

20%

 


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