Condoluci et al reported a prognostic score for early stage, asymptomatic chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). This can help to estimate the time to therapy. The authors are from multiple institutions in Europe.
Note: This score is distinct from the International Prognostic Index for CLL (CLL-IPI).
Patient selection: early, asymptomatic CLL
Parameters:
(1) mutation status of IGHV (immunoglobulin heavy variable) gene
(2) absolute lymphocyte count in 10^9/L
(3) lymph nodes on physical exam
Parameter
Finding
Points
mutation status IGHV
mutated
0
unmutated
1
absolute lymphocyte count
<= 15 * 10^9/L
0
> 15 * 10^9/L
1
lymph nodes
unpalpable
0
palpable
1
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 3
• The higher the score the greater the risk.
Score
Risk Group
5-Year Cumulative Risk of Treatment
0
low
8.4%
1
intermediate
28.4%
2 or 3
high
61.2%
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve was 0.74 in the training and 0.70 in the validation cohorts
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