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Description

Gatti et al evaluated patients for the risk of deep sternal wound infection (DSWI) following bilateral internal thoracic artery (BITA) grafting. They reported 2 predictive models, with one based on preoperative findings. The authors are from Ospedali Riuniti and University of Trieste in Italy.


Patient selection: CABG using bilateral internal thoracic artery grafts

 

Outcome: deep sternal wound infection (DSWI) and mediastinitis

 

Parameters:

(1) sex

(2) body mass index (BMI) in kilograms per square meter

(3) diabetes status

(4) glycemic control

(5) chronic lung disease

(6) chronic dialysis

(7) congestive heart failure

(8) surgical acuity

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

sex

male

0

 

female

99

BMI

<= 30

0

 

> 30

33

diabetes

none

0

 

on oral hypoglycemic agent

49

 

on insulin

89

glycemic control

good or fair

0

 

poor

58

chronic lung disease

absent

0

 

present

100

chronic dialysis

absent

0

 

present

92

congestive heart failure

absent

0

 

present

58

surgical acuity

elective

0

 

urgent

48

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: 0

maximum score: 577

The higher the score the greater the risk for DSWI.

 

Total Score

Risk DSWI

< 180

< 10%

180-222

10%

223-254

15%

255-280

20%

281-303

25%

304-324

30%

325-343

35%

344-362

40%

363-380

45%

381-399

50%

400-417

55%

418-437

60%

438-458

65%

>= 459

>= 70%

 

Performance:

The area under the ROC curve is 0.72.


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