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Description

Pamecha et al reported the early graft loss risk (e-GLR) score for predicting early graft loss for an adult receiving a live donor liver transplant. The authors are from Institute of Liver & Biliary Sciences in New Delhi.


Patient selection: live-donor liver transplant

 

Outcome: graft loss within 90 days

 

Parameters:

(1) donor age

(2) estimated graft weight in grams

(3) actual graft weight in grams

(4) MELD score

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

donor age

 

0.052 * (age)

estimated graft weight

< 640 grams

1.681

 

>= 640 grams

0

MELD score

 

0.145 * (MELD)

 

e-GLR score using estimated graft weight =

= (10 * SUM(points for the 3 parameters)) - 8.608

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

donor age

 

0.054 * (age)

actual graft weight

< 610 grams

1.851

 

>= 610 grams

0

MELD score

 

0.128 * (MELD)

 

e-GLR score using actual graft weight =

= (10 * SUM(points for all 3 parameters)) - 8.128

 

e-GLR score

90-Day Risk of Graft Loss

<= 54

< 10%

55 to 60

11 to 15%

61 to 66

16 to 24%

67 to 72

25 to 33%

73 to 78

34 to 45%

> 78

> 45%

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve for the estimated weight was 0.81 in the derivation and 0.86 in the validation cohorts.

• The area under the ROC curve for the actual weight was 0.86 in the derivation and 0.84 in the validation cohorts.


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