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Description

Zammit et al reported a diagnostic rule for identifying radiographic osteoarthritis in a patient with first metatarsophalangeal (MTPJ) pain. The authors are from La Trobe University in Australia.


Patient selection: first metatarsophalangeal joint (MTPJ) pain

 

Parameters:

(1) pain duration in months

(2) dorsal exostosis

(3) hard-end feel (sensation which the therapist detects at the end of the available ROM, perceived as abrupt end blocked by bone)

(4) crepitus

(5) first MTPJ dorsiflexion range of motion (ROM) in degrees

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

pain duration

<= 25 months

0

 

> 25 months

1.053

dorsal exostosis

absent

0

 

present

1.073

hard-end feel

absent

0

 

present

1.191

crepitus

absent

0

 

present

1.901

first MTPJ dorsiflexion ROM

< 64 degrees

1.748

 

>= 65 degrees

0

 

value of X =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters) - 2.048

 

probability of radiographic first MTPJ osteoarthritis =

= 1 / ( 1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.87.


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