Description

Wells et al reported the CRC-PRO calculator for predicting colorectal cancer in adults. One nomogram is predictive for males and another one for females. The authors are from the Cleveland Clinic, University Hospitals Case Medical Center and Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland.


Patient selection: adult male from 45 to 80 years of age

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) ethnicity

(3) pack years of smoking

(4) number of alcoholic drinks per day

(5) body mass index (BMI)

(6) years of education

(7) regular use of aspirin

(8) family history of colon cancer

(9) regular use of multivitamins

(10) ounces of red meat eaten per day

(11) diabetes

(12) hours of moderate physical activity per day

 

Parameters

Finding

Points

ethnicity

white

0

 

Latino

1.5

 

black

6.7

 

Hawaiian

13.5

 

Japanese

17.6

aspirin

yes

0

 

not currently

7.3

 

no

8.8

family history

no

0

 

yes

10.2

multivitamins

yes

0

 

no

8.8

diabetes

no

0

 

yes

4.4

 

points for age over range from 45 to 80 years =

= (-0.02936*((age)^2)) + (6.5059 * (age)) - 233.26

 

points for moderate physical activity per day over range from 0 to 2 hours =

= (0.586 * ((hours)^2)) - (3.9589 * (hours)) + 5.5718

 

points for BMI over range from 20 to 35 kg per square meter =

= (0.03079 * ((BMI)^2)) - (0.69941 * (BMI)) + 1.5469

 

points for years of education over range from 8 to 12 =

= (-0.21994 * ((years)^2)) + (6.5982 * (years)) - 38.71

 

points for years of education from 14 to 16 years =

= 29.4 - (1.45 * (years))

 

points for pack years of smoking over range from 0 to 50 =

= (0.0035 * ((years)^2)) + (0.086 * (years)) - 0.27

 

points for alcoholic drinks per day over range from 0 to 2=

= (6.085 * (drinks))

 

points for alcoholic drinks per day over range from 2 to 12=

= (0.73313 * (drinks)) + 10.447

 

points for red meat over range from 0 to 2 ounces per day =

= (2.7859 * (ounces)) - 0.0953

 

points for red meat over range from 2 to 4 ounces per day =

= (0.58651 * (ounces)) + 4.3988

 

Overages

Use

physical activity > 2 hours

0

BMI over 35

14.7

BMI under 20

0

drinks over 12

19.4

red meat over 4 ounces

6.7

education over 16 years

6.2

pack years over 50

12.6

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 12 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: 0

maximum score: 210

 

Total Score

10 year risk of colorectal cancer in percent

0 to 188

10^((0.010583*(score))-0.79253)

> 188

> 15%

 


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