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Description

van Middendorp et al reported a clinical prediction rule for independent walking after spinal cord injury. This can help to triage patients after the injury. The authors are from multiple institutions and participants in the EM-SCI Study Group.


Patient selection: age >= 18 years, spinal cord injury

 

Outcome: independent walking (SCIM item 12 scores 4 (uses walking frame or crutches) to 8 (walks without walking aids) at 1 year

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) motor score L3 quadriceps femoris (from 0 to 5)

(3) motor score S1 gastrocsoleus (from 0 to 5)

(4) light touch score L3 (0 to 2)

(5) light touch score S1 (0 to 2)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 65 years

0

 

>= 65 years

-10

motor score L3

0 to 5

2 * (motor score)

motor score S1

0 to 5

2 * (motor score)

light touch L3

0 to 2

5 * (touch score)

light touch S1

0 to 2

5 * (touch score)

 

Scoring is based on the best score at each level.

 

The timing of the neurologic exam appears to be the first 15 days post injury.

 

full score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: -10

maximum full score: 40

 

X =

= (0.267 * (full score)) - 3.279

 

probability of independent walking =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * (X))

 

Performance:

The area under the ROC curve was 0.96 for the full score.


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